Wednesday, January 11, 2012

Infosys Q3 net seen up 22% to Rs 2322 cr


Earnings season for the third quarter will be kicked off with Infosys on Thursday. The company is expected to do well due to rupee depreciation but macro environment remains edgy.
Country's second largest software services exporterInfosys is expected to report a profit after tax of Rs 2,322 crore in the third quarter of FY12, a growth of 21.8% as compared to Rs 1,906 crore in the previous quarter, according to CNBC-TV18 estimates.
Revenues are seen going up 13.9% to Rs 9,223 crore from Rs 8,099 crore during the same period while the company expects a growth of 9-11.3% in revenues at around Rs 8,826-9,012 crore in the quarter ended December 2011.
Earnings before interest and tax are likely to be at Rs 2,785 crore as against Rs 2,281 crore quarter-on-quarter. During the same period, EBIT margin is expected to improve at 30.2% versus 28.16%.
Infosys is likely to post earnings per share of Rs 40.4 in the third quarter of FY12 versus Rs 33.36 crore in previous quarter. The company expects EPS growth of 15.4%- 17.5% at Rs 38.51-39.20. 

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

CRR cut unlikely?


All eyes will be on the RBI as it unveils in monetary policy on the January 24. The country's top bankers met central bank officials today, as part of the pre-policy consultations and a key takeaway from the meeting is that the RBI is not concerned about the liquidity situation - a view that dampens hopes of a CRR cut this month. CNBC-TV18's Gopika Gopakumar reports.
Banker's including Pratip Chaudhuri of SBI, Chanda Kochhar of ICICI Bank, MD Mallya of Bank of Baroda and MV Nair of Union Bank all met RBI today ahead of the credit policy to discuss various issues including liquidity, growth, asset quality and so on.
On liquidity, bankers have expressed their concern that the system could face some liquidity tightness going forward. They anticipate that the money deployed in deposits could move out of the system and be reinvested in tax free infra bonds.
However, RBI seems to be confident that liquidity is comfortable in the system and that deposit growth is much faster than credit growth, that's the second highlight of the meeting today. Bankers seem to suggest that they will be unlikely to meet the RBIs target of 18% credit growth for FY12. In fact, they are expecting credit growth to be around 16%.
MD Mallya, CMD of Bank of Baroda told CNBC-TV18, "As of we had been around 17% on a year on year basis, at the moment we still look at around 18% for the full year, but then it depends on how exactly the subsequent 2 months they will behave."

Wednesday, January 4, 2012

Expect Nifty to stay in 4500-4900 range

"The levels of 4,500 continue to be a strong support for Nifty," said Vineet Bhatnagar, managing director at MF Global. In an interview to CNBC-TV18, sharing his expectations from the trade in the January series, Bhatnagar said that the market is likely to stay in the range of 4,500 to 4,900 levels.
"Given the way market traded yesterday, the top could be somewhere in the region of 4,850 at best and 4,500 for the moment is a very strong support," he reiterated.
Further, he also said for this particular series, the FIIs seem to be net long on index futures. "The open interest from them alone is up by about 7% and in the underlying cash market segment, there has been no tremendous activity.

Tuesday, January 3, 2012

Will the 1st Indian billionaire sign giving pledge in 2012?

In response to Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’s initiative, many billionaires, including Facebook founders Mark Zuckerberg and Dustin Moskovitz, have committed to donate the majority of their wealth. Will India’s rich follow suit?
On March 24, 2011, two significant events took place. In the first, millions of Indians sat glued to their televisions as India beat Australia to enter the semi-finals of the cricket World Cup. Sitting in the crowd at the Ahmedabad stadium were many of India’s richest businessmen and celebrities. Less than 1,000 km away, in Delhi, the world’s second and third richest persons, Bill Gates and Warren Buffett, respectively, were meeting about 50 of India’s leading philanthropists in a ‘Giving Discussion’. Gates and Buffett are the initiators of the Giving Pledge in the US, asking billionaires to commit to giving a majority of their wealth to philanthropy. Buffett has committed to giving away 99 percent of his wealth during his lifetime.

So, has the time come for India to adopt the Giving Pledge? With 57 billionaires and two names in the world’s top-10 rich list, the question is not ‘if’ but ‘when’ will India see its first signatory to the Giving Pledge. We have a 400 million-strong middle class and 150,000 HNIs [high net worth individuals, with an investible surplus of a million dollars].

In India, the debate has moved from ‘Why should I give?’ to ‘Who should I give to?’ and ‘What should I give to?’

However, the question that begs to be asked is, ‘Are we giving enough?’ A recent report by Bain Consulting said that, on an average, HNIs are giving 2-3 percent of their income. This is way below American HNIs, who give 8-11 percent of their income to charity. At this level of wealth, all of one’s basic needs are taken care of. Yet there is reluctance to give. Among billionaires, the reluctance is more.

There are exceptions. Last year, Azim Premji made the single largest philanthropic gift in India in recent memory — a share transfer of $2 billion to the Azim Premji Foundation. Given that his personal wealth is estimated to be $18 billion, this is 10 percent of his net worth.

But this did not happen in one day. Premji travelled extensively to organisations and places where actual work is being done, from Mumbai’s slums to the interiors of Andhra Pradesh. He spent time understanding the landscape before making this contribution. Today, he is not only giving money but also 15 percent of his time to philanthropy.

Earlier this year, G.M. Rao pledged Rs. 1,540 crore — nearly his entire personal stake in this business — towards the GMR Varalakshmi Foundation, which works on education. Last year, Shiv Nadar gave Rs. 580 crore to the Shiv Nadar Foundation, which works in the area of education. But these are far and few in a country with one of the highest growth rates of billionaires and millionaires in the world.

So, who is giving and who is not? People who have made their own money are much more comfortable giving it away compared to the second and third generations. Some of the older businesses, built during licence raj, have grown with a lot of insecurity. The businesses often depended on permits and resources controlled by the government, which could deny them any of this. In contrast, the new billionaires — represented by the IT entrepreneurs — are far less insecure about their business and are far more willing to share their wealth.

However, we need people to give because they want to and not because they are pressured to. That is when true and significant giving will happen.

Among many second and third generation entrepreneurs, the argument very often is, ‘We pay our taxes. It is the government’s job to look after society.’ That would be true if they all really paid their taxes. Some of the largest Indian companies came into the tax net just a decade ago, with the introduction of the Minimum Alternate Tax, which was introduced to tax companies with high revenues, high profits, high dividends but no tax liability.

We see lobbies trying to get exemptions for their sectors or factories. I would not be surprised if the marginal tax rate for most of the top companies would be less than 20 percent.

There are also some disturbing trends. We see individuals claiming CSR [corporate social responsibility] as their personal philanthropy because they hold a large stake in the company. CSR ties back in to the work of the company, as indeed it must, since its purpose is profit maximisation for shareholders. The principle used is that if any shareholder wants to engage in their own philanthropy, they should be free to do so.

If we mandate CSR, it will be bypassed in various ways, such as providing housing, schools and benefits for employees. These are great activities but are ways to retain employees, not help society. Another trend that needs to be nipped in the bud is companies using money from employees towards CSR agendas and bragging about it as if it was their own money. All of this will actually shake people’s confidence in philanthropy.

But, I am confident that a slow and steady change is already taking place. We need more philanthropists to come out and talk about it, to help others give. So, when Kalpana Morparia speaks of her Rs. 1.5 crore donation to Bharti Foundation, it inspires many others. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala saying that he plans to pledge one-fourth of his wealth to charity, makes it more possible for many others who are still thinking about it. They become role models.

Sensex rises over 350 points

The market continues to trade strong amid buying across sectors. Both equity benchmarks shot up over 2% in the later afternoon trade. The relief rally has been supported majorly by banks, capital goods, metals and technology stocks. The Sensex was up 350 points at 15,867.85 and the Nifty gained 106 points at 4,742.60.
Shares of country's largest lenders SBI and ICICI Bank rallied over 3.5%; Kotak Mahindra Bank shot up 6.6%, and HDFC Bank & HDFC rose 1-2%.
Capital goods majors L&T and BHEL surged 4.5% and 3.4%, respectively. Among technology stocks, Infosys and TCS gained 1.5-3% whereas Wipro jumped 4%.
Index heavyweights Reliance Industries and Bharti Airtel were up 2% each.
In the metal space, Coal India, Jindal Steel and Tata Steel moved up 5% each; Sesa Goa, Sterlite and Hindalco gained 3-3.5%.
Rate sensitives like Tata Motors and DLF shot up 5% each. However, Hero Motocorp and M&M were only losers in Sensex  falling around 1.5%

Bajaj Auto unveils four-wheeler RE60

Bajaj Auto on Tuesday led to rest all the speculation surrounding its ultra-low-cost-car programme by unveiling the four-wheeler RE60, which it feels will revolutionize mass transportation and change the way people commute within the city.
Bajaj Auto said the four-wheeler will set "global benchmark" in carbon-di-oxide [CO2] emissions, with just 60gm/km and offer a mileage of 35km to a litre.
This is Bajaj's first attempt at making a four-wheeler. It currently sells the Pulsar, Discover, and Boxer range of motorcycles and three-wheeler commercial vehicles.

Gold & crude to see bull rally in 2012, say experts

Despite astrological prediction of the end of the world, Priti Gupta, director of Anand Rathi Commodities tells CNBC-TV18 that they are very positive going into 2012. “We believe it is a year of consolidation for commodities,” she said.
In the precious metals space, Gupta sees gold falling to USD 1230-1250 per ounce levels, but bouncing back to USD 1700 per ounce levels by the end of the year. “Look to buy into gold when it weakens,” she added. Naveen Mathur, associate director of commodities and currencies at Angel Broking also has a buy call on gold around Rs 27,300 per 10 gm. “For the day, we expect a target of Rs 27,650-27,800 levels,” he said.
Both are also bullish on crude due to supply constraints in Iran. “For the year, I see crude trading in a range between USD 90-110 per barrel,” said Gupta.

SEBI may allow only top 100 cos by M-cap to auction shares

Market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) plans to allow only top 100 companies by market capitalizaton to auction their stakes to investors, reports CNBC-TV18.

The Sebi board, which is scheduled to meet today, will also discuss changes in regulatory framework in order to enable public sector units to buy back shares from the government. Due to the volatile stock market scenario, the finance minister had been compelled to defer share sale of state-owned companies like Oil and Natural Gas Corporation, Steel Authority of India Ltd and Indian Oil Corporation. The government had been planning to reduce its deficit via stake sale of public sector units.

Sources said the new mechanism, if accepted, will enable SEBI's 25% mandatory public sharholding norm.